Modelling long-term outcomes and mortality risk in patients with post-stroke spasticity during abobotulinum toxin injections as part of rehabilitation

Abstract

To date, there are no Russian or international studies investigating the long-term efficacy of botulinum therapy (abobotulinum toxin injections – AboBTX) during rehabilitation in patients with post-stroke spasticity in terms of its impact on the risk of death from all causes and the development of cardiovascular complications. A 10-year study conducted in the United Kingdom analyzed the effects of AboBTX injections in patients with post-stroke spasticity on long-term clinical (all-cause mortality, cardiovascular events, length and quality of life) and economic (direct medical costs) outcomes. For the first time ever, a model was developed to evaluate the clinical (quality-adjusted life expectancy) and economic benefits of AboBTX injections in the structure of rehabilitation compared to rehabilitation without botulinum therapy in patients with post-stroke spasticity. It was shown that the inclusion of regular injections of AboBTX in the rehabilitation process resulted in an 8.8% reduction in the risk of death from all causes, a 13% increase in life expectancy (and by 59% in quality-adjusted terms compared to rehabilitation without botulinum therapy) and proved to be cost-effective. The use of AboBTX injections in patients with post-stroke spasticity as part of rehabilitation is cost-effective in the long term and improves long-term outcomes, including post-stroke survival.