Modelling approaches to innovative development of forestry enterprises using the sigmoid function

Abstract

At the present stage of development of enterprises of the timber industry complex, it is necessary to systematically consider all active processes occurring within the enterprise, as well as their response to external influences and variable factors affecting innovative activity. The aim of the study is to apply multisigmoidal modelling approaches that take into account the use of an innovative approach in the renewal of forest areas in the process of eliminating the consequences of forest fires and the production of competitive timber products. The study uses a multisigmoidal approach, which is based on a variety of empirical data and indicators calculated based on statistical reporting on the economic development of forestry manufacturing enterprises. Thanks to the developed model based on the multisigmoidal modelling approach, it became possible to identify ineffective economic phenomena and innovation processes taking place in the context of the innovative development of forestry enterprises. The application of this approach made it possible to identify bottlenecks and weaknesses of the entire production process in the forest industry, taking into account the application of measures for the prevention and extinguishing of forest fires in conditions of accelerated renewal of forest resources.