Modeling Tour Mode and Destination Choice in the Jakarta Metropolitan Area

Abstract

This paper presents a work tour mode and destination choice model within an activity-based modeling framework. The case study is Jakarta, Indonesia, one of the largest metropolitan areas in Asia. The dataset obtained from a large household travel survey provides daily travel patterns and detailed information on household socio-demographic characteristics. Eight most commonly used combinations of travel modes observed in the region are considered: drive alone, shared ride, motorcycle, taxi, motorcycle taxi, transit with motorized access, transit with non-motorized access, and non-motorized transport. In addition, eleven representative destinations are also considered for each tour and are sampled from the 336 traffic analysis zones using the stratified importance sampling method which is based on the distance as well as total jobs as an indicator or the magnitude of attraction in the destination. A wide variety of different types of variables contributed significantly to the model, including variables related to trips, activities/tours, households, individuals, and destination zones. The modeling results suggest that, in the context of Jakarta, choice alternatives, structure of the model, and key variables are quite different from the observed in the developed world. This study is part of a larger effort with the ultimate goal of developing a comprehensive activity-based micro-simulation modeling system for developing countries.