Abstract

Inhalational anthrax, caused by the gram positive bacteria Bacillus anthracis, is a potentially fatal form of anthrax infection. It is initiated after inhaled spores are deposited in the lung, phagocytosed by immune cells, and subsequently transported to nearby lymph nodes. Intracellular spores that successfully germinate and become vegetative bacteria can lyse their host cell and contribute to bacterial outgrowth and toxin production. To better understand the early disease dynamics of the host-pathogen interaction, we develop a mathematical model of ordinary differential Equations and estimate parameters using available data. The model which consists of two subsystems is designed in accordance with an in vitro experimental protocol in which macrophages were challenged with varying doses of spores at spore-to-macrophage ratios of 1:1, 1:2, 1:10, 1:20. Initial modeling results suggested the need to consider two distinct subpopulations of anthrax bacteria: newly germinated bacteria which cannot replicate immediately and fully vegetative bacteria that can. Additional modeling results provide insights into possible reasons why macrophage-induced killing is more effective at the 1:20 ratio.

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