Modeling the Lanchester Laws with System Dynamics

Abstract

This study develops a framework using the Lanchester Laws in a hybrid system dynamics model. Two models of the Lanchester Laws are compared. The first is a traditional discrete event simulation and the other is a system dynamics model. System dynamics models are able to represent qualitative aspects of combat that are difficult to capture in a discrete event simulation. This is directly applicable to modeling combat since some key drivers within the expected environment are difficult to model. Additionally, the system dynamics construct allows for the modeling of continuous events and incorporating system feedback. Both of these properties are favored when modeling combat or asymmetrical operations. Results from the discrete event simulation and the system dynamics model are analyzed and contrasted.