Modeling the influence of financial sector on real sector of Ukrainian economics

Abstract

Introduction: This paper is devoted to the study of the relationship between the financial and real sectors of the economy of Ukraine. Economic transformations of the domestic economy demonstrate the urgent need for financial bases to stimulate economic development. After all, the stabilization of industrial enterprises and the maintenance of a steady trend of increasing industrial production is directly related to financial security. It is also necessary to clarify possible contradictions between the financial and manufacturing sectors, as well as possible ways to resolve them, because we are talking about the decline or prosperity of the economy. For example, the underdevelopment of financial institutions and the investment of real sector free funds in speculative transactions instead of using them to reproduce fixed capital and increase capacity is one such complication. In turn, a weak financial system cannot provide a sufficient level of investment development, as a result of which the real sector attracts its own funds, which allows to achieve mainly only short-term goals. It should also be noted that the divergence of the financial and real sectors is expressed through certain economic relations. As financial institutions play a significant role in the formation of investment entities, it can be noted that insufficient financial potential and low ability to form a stable financial policy are weaknesses in the socio-economic development of Ukraine. Therefore, a detailed study of the convergence of the financial and industrial sectors can be taken into account in the formation of programs of socio-economic development in crisis or post-crisis conditions. The purpose of the paper is an in-depth analysis of the relationship between the financial and real sectors, as well as the consequences of their divergence. The realization of this goal has necessitated the disclosure of the essence of production and financial institutions, their impact on global crises. The subject of the study was the economic relations of the financial and production sectors and their features in terms of the economy of Ukraine. The object of analysis is cross-sectoral links and trends in their development. The reasons for the separation of these sectors are also investigated. Result. Using the obtained results, an economic-mathematical model of the economy functioning without the direct influence of the financial sector and a model taking into account the financial sector were built. A comparison of the models proves that the stock market has an impact on the productive sector of the economy. Conclusion. The development of the stock market can have a positive effect on GDP growth. However, at the same time it is necessary to regulate the activities of stock market participants to avoid excessive outflow of funds to the speculative stock market.