Modeling the Desire to have Children Post-Disaster Palu – Indonesian 2018

Abstract

The impact of a family death, especially on children, causes demographic changes, one of which is the mother's desire to have children. This research problem is how to model with a logistic regression approach and spatial modeling with overlay technique on the desire to have children. The purpose of this study is to model desire to have children with a logistic regression and overlay modeling approach. This research was conducted in Palu City. Participants in this study amounted to 382 mothers with proportional stratified random sampling method as the sampling technique, the data were analyzed using logistic regression modeling and spatial modeling with overlay techniques. In general, the results of logistic regression modeling show a significant effect between the type of disaster and geographical location on the desire to have children after the disaster in Palu City. Mothers who experience disasters (earthquake, tsunami, liquefaction) and live in disaster-prone zones have the opportunity to have children. The results of spatial modeling using the overlay technique show that the parameters of the disaster-affected area have a high priority, indicating that the zone/area of these parameters tends to have children.