Modeling the Behavior of an Agent-enterprise as part of an Artificial Society in an International Trade Network

Abstract

In the work developing the methodology for creating an artificial society, agent-firms in the agent-based model are considered as elements of an international trade network, formalized in the form of a graph in which they are represented by vertices, and the edges connecting them indicate the direction and magnitude of the flow of material resources and/or services. Using PJSC Gazprom as an example, centrality indices were constructed to characterize the importance of an agent-enterprise in the natural gas trading network, as well as its vulnerability from partner countries, considering the economic weight (importance) of these partners. The indices were used to develop an algorithm for simulating agent behavior based on the theory of functional systems by P.K. Anokhin: a) for the agent to assess his position as the current level of threats, and b) for setting goals and forming a set of projects aimed at developing and protecting his business. The algorithm is configured to minimize the vulnerability (dependence on partners) of the agent-firm both from the countries consuming its products and from the transit countries transporting them.