Abstract

The study provides solutions for the scientific task related to the improvement of theoretical and development of methodological and applied principles, and the identification and evaluation of risks and threats as factors of anti-crisis management of the enterprises. Based on the developed concept of quantitative risk analysis, we constructed a fuzzy hierarchical model, which gives the possibility to get the estimates: risk factors; specific types of threats in the framework of a process; risk processes, identified in the anti-crisis management; and the integrative risk of anti-crisis management. Furthermore, the proposed model makes it possible to identify the threats that are the risks of the highest (catastrophe) layer. The fuzzy hierarchical model construction process includes the determination of linguistic variables, term-varieties, and universal sets for quantitative evaluation of figures and risks, the establishment of parameters of the membership functions for indicators and risks, the formation of fuzzy knowledge bases, the construction of a fuzzy hierarchical model in the MATLAB environment, the evaluation of adequacy of model based on the learning sample, the correction of a model, and the adoption of a resolution regarding its final variant. The use of the model in the anti-crisis enterprise management will provide the anti-crisis team with the possibility to give early warning of all negative factors, give their quantitative evaluation, and take them into account in the course of making managerial decisions.

Highlights

  • Entrepreneurship activities are always influenced by a range of external and internal factors

  • The authors have found that in conditions of stable activity of the enterprise, elimination or mitigation of the influence of destructive factors, it can be assigned to the economic security system of the enterprise

  • To reduce the negative impact of this risk, we offer the following measures: advanced vocational training, knowledge and experience improvement of the employees in the area of anti-crisis management, which provides the possibility to timely identify the features of crisis events, evaluate their parameters properly, and develop and implement anti-crisis measures when it is needed; (Siraj and the provision of the proper labor conditions, the use of motivational measures, and the formation of a friendly atmosphere within the enterprise team to improve the coherence of the work of both the anti-crisis team and all structural divisions, and the enterprise in general; (Mishra et al 2019)

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Summary

Introduction

Entrepreneurship activities are always influenced by a range of external and internal factors Taking these factors into account in the course of the adoption of managerial decisions decreases the probability of underpayment (lost) of earnings or profit, the appearance of a crisis, or bankruptcy of the enterprise. Each of the above-mentioned subsystems is focused on laying the groundwork for the steady activity of the enterprise during the current period and achievement of its strategic objectives in a long-term perspective. These sub-systems have their specific nature that was discovered in the course of a profound analysis of their features, such as a subject, an object, a strategy, an objective and functions, methods, and instruments. One distinguishes the following specific methods in the system of economic security: business intelligence, fight against raiding, spying activity, and other illegal activities of physical or legal persons

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