Abstract

Modeling outcomes in HIV care can provide insight into future trends and costs relating to various care strategies. Now, researchers have used a Monte Carlo health-state transition simulation to predict long-term outcomes for a hypothetical 10,000 patients in each of four CD4-count categories on care entry: ≤200, 201–350, 351–500, and 501–900 cells/mm3. They assumed that a patient entering care at a CD4 count >500 cells/mm3 would …

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