Modeling of spatio-temporal dynamics of land use and land cover in a part of Brahmaputra River basin using Geoinformatic techniques

Abstract

An attempt has been made to explore and evaluate the Cellular Automata (CA) Markov modelling to monitor and predict the future land use and land cover (LULC) scenario in a part of Brahmaputra River basin using LULC maps derived from multi-temporal satellite images. CA Markov is a combined cellular automata/Markov chain/multi-criteria/multi-objective land allocation (MOLA) LULC prediction procedure that adds an element of spatial contiguity as well as knowledge base of the likely spatial distribution of transitions to Markov chain analysis. Evidence likelihood map was used for as knowledge base of the likely spatial procedure in CA Markov model. The predicting quantity and predicting location change have been analysed and statistically evaluated. The validation statistics indicated how well the comparison map agreed and disagreed with the reference map. Predicted results accuracy is slightly higher when compare to others studies of LULC change using CA Markov approaches.