Abstract

The article is dedicated to the search for a biologically motivated mechanism of the cognitive phenomenon of violation of the classical formula of total probability for the disjunction of incompatible events, which is considered by a number of researchers as a quantum-like phenomenon. A classical mechanism implemented by the 6f Fourier holography scheme of the resonant architecture that does not require reference to quantum mechanics either in its physical nature or at the level of formalism is demonstrated. In the analysis, the decision-making is interpreted as a choice of alternatives by using the non-cooperative game "Prisoner's Dilemma". The approach to the task is based on the search for a mechanism for forming a conditional estimate under a condition that contradicts the rule of monotonous decision logic. It is demonstrated that this estimate, in contrast to the unconditional and conditional one with a non-contradictory condition, is formed by logic with exception. The ring architecture of the holographic setup corresponds to the biologically inspired neural network concept of the excitation ring and implements cognitive dissonance on logic with exception. Conditions and ranges of violation of the classical formula of total probability in relation to the correlation radius of the reference image recorded in a hologram storing the monotone logic inference rule are analytically determined. The analytical model is confirmed by a quantitative coincidence of the results of numerical modeling with the published results of natural experiments.

Highlights

  • The article is dedicated to the search for a biologically motivated mechanism of the cognitive phenomenon of violation of the classical formula of total probability for the disjunction of incompatible events, which is considered by a number of researchers as a quantum-like phenomenon

  • A classical mechanism implemented by the 6f Fourier holography scheme of the resonant architecture that does not require reference to quantum mechanics either in its physical nature or at the level of formalism is demonstrated

  • The decision-making is interpreted as a choice of alternatives by using the non-cooperative game "Prisoner's Dilemma"

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Summary

Описание проблемы

Принятие решений традиционно исследуется на модельных ситуациях, описываемых теорией игр. Для наглядности рассмотрим нарушение классической формулы полной вероятности для дизъюнкции несовместных событий применительно к некооперативной игре «Дилемма заключенного» [23 – 27]. Повлиять на решение подельника игрок не может. Парето-оптимален (максимум общей пользы) [44] вариант CC, но в реальности, как правило, наблюдается [23 – 27] равновесие Нэша [45] DD – оба предают. В экспериментах [23 – 27] игроку B предлагалось принять решение в трех возможных ситуациях:. Значения вероятностей в разных исследованиях, как и в разных играх, несколько отличались, но всегда устойчиво наблюдался один и тот же порядок (1). Что в классической теории вероятности согласно формуле полной (безусловной) вероятности для дизъюнкции несовместных событий. Полная вероятность Pr (DΒ) должна принадлежать интервалу условных: [Pr (DΒ DΑ), Pr (DΒ CΑ)]

Подход к проблеме
Модель
Выбор метода представления и ввода в систему обрабатываемой информации
Первая итерация «кольца возбуждения» – оценка решения подельника
Вторая итерация «кольца возбуждения» – оценка собственного решения
Условия и границы нарушения классической формулы полной вероятности
Обсуждение
Human-like computing
Full Text
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