Abstract

The aim of this research is to establish the significant effect of environmental factors on malaria prevalence rate within the Local Government Areas of Lagos State. The methodology used was to carry out a statistical analysis of these various environmental factors with the malaria prevalence cases that was recorded in Lagos State using a 5 years data from 2009-2013 of malaria prevalence cases recorded with environmental data for the same time frame, and to further use GIS to show the various Local Government Areas with high severe malaria cases as well as low malaria cases. The result obtained from this analysis shows a significant relationship between the malaria prevalence cases and environmental factors of rainfall, temperature and relative humidity, this helped in developing a predictive model. The outcome from this research work can help the government, Lagos State Ministry of Health and donor agencies both local and international see the Local Government Areas within the state that are most vulnerable to malaria epidemic, and further aid them in policy formation, planning and strategy implementation.

Highlights

  • Statistics shows that malaria accounts for nearly 110 million clinically diagnosed cases per year, an estimated 300,000 children die of malaria each year (Federal Ministry of Health 2003)

  • A total of 3,363,834 cases of malaria were recorded within the 20 Local Government Areas of Lagos State from January 2009 to December 2013

  • While the Relative humidity taken at 0900Z shows a mean square value between groups of 5304957.710 with an F-value of 11.48, this has a significant effect on the malaria prevalent cases in Local Government Areas of Lagos State because the p-value (0.001) is less than 0.05

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Summary

Introduction

Statistics shows that malaria accounts for nearly 110 million clinically diagnosed cases per year, an estimated 300,000 children die of malaria each year (Federal Ministry of Health 2003). The direct health impact of malaria has led to a severe social and economic burden on our communities and country as a whole, with about N132 billion lost to malaria annually in form of treatment costs, prevention, loss of man hours etc. Malaria control will need to be addressed, not as a separate, vertical, disease-specific intervention, but as part of a health systems strengthening effort, to provide holistic services in all facets of care, and as part of a larger community-development effort (Anyamba, A. et al, (2001); Ghulam, M., et al, (2004); and Guinovart, C., et al, (2006)). Malaria is the country’s most significant public health problem.

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