Abstract

States and their cities are at the forefront of efforts to address many of today’s transnational security challenges. States cannot fulfill their basic functions, which include caring for the all-round development of their territory and the needs of its inhabitants, without the existence of critical infrastructure, which can be damaged, destroyed, or disrupted by malicious behavior. The legislation of EU authorities presents methods for improving the crisis management cycle within critical infrastructure protection. However, these methods are not elaborated. Modeling and simulation using software tools enable more accurate decision-making by security managers during the process of designing and evaluating the physical protection systems of critical infrastructure. This article presents a new software solution to the intrusion of unauthorized persons and its potential mathematical extension. The main innovative benefit of this newly created software tool is the possibility of creating more sophisticated attack scenarios using various 2D maps. Mathematical extension model response scenarios are constructed for various types of intruders, allowing more accurate training of defenders, which leads to more effective resource usage. This combination of software and mathematical solutions should allow physical protection system designers to test various intrusion scenarios of critical infrastructure elements.

Highlights

  • The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development was adopted by world leaders at the historic UN Summit in September 2015, and was officially enacted on 1 January 2016

  • Security plans or equivalent measures should be established for every element of the critical infrastructure, for example, nuclear facilities, buildings, and premises for the storage and handling of classified information; financial institutions; essential services, and relevant technologies; as well as elements whose protection may not be addressed by legislation

  • Whereas the protection of elements that are of strategic importance is addressed individually by each nation in its legislation, security requirements for these elements should be evaluated based on a common minimum approach (Council of the European Union 2008)

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Summary

Introduction

The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development was adopted by world leaders at the historic UN Summit in September 2015, and was officially enacted on 1 January 2016. Goal number 11 is to make cities and human settlements inclusive, safe, resilient, and sustainable. Future cities need to be safe, sustainable, and resilient to disasters [1]. States, cities, and their infrastructure are constantly exposed to the negative effects of naturogenic and anthropogenic threats. The impact of climatic change is considered to be the most significant naturogenic global threat. Together with the global threats, local threats affect states, cities, and their critical infrastructure. A local terrorist attack through a cascading effect can result in a natural disaster or even a change in climate (e.g., an attack on a nuclear facility)

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