Modeling and sensitivity study of wet scavenging models for the Fukushima accident using 1-km-resolution meteorological field data

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Wet scavenging modeling remains a challenge of the atmospheric transport of 137Cs following the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant accident, which significantly influences the detailed spatiotemporal 137Cs distribution. Till now, numerous wet deposition schemes have been proposed for 137Cs, but it is often difficult to evaluate them consistently, due to the limited resolution of meteorological field data and detailed differences in model implementations. This study evaluated the detailed behavior of 25 combinations of in- and below-cloud wet scavenging models in the framework of the Weather Research and Forecasting-Chemistry model, using high-resolution (1 km × 1 km) meteorological input. The above implementation enables consistent evaluation with great details, revealing complex local behaviors of these combinations. The 1-km-resolution simulations were compared with simulations obtained previously using 3-km-resolution meteorological field data, with respect to the rainfall pattern of the east Japan during the accident, atmospheric concentrations acquired at the regional SPM monitoring sites and the total ground deposition. The capability of these models in reproducing local-scale observations were also investigated with a local-scale observations at the Naraha site, which his only 17.5 km from the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant. The performance of the ensemble mean was also evaluated. Results revealed that the 1-km simulations better reproduce the cumulative rainfall pattern during the Fukushima accident than those revealed by the 3-km simulations, but showing with spatiotemporal variability in accuracy. And rainfall below 1 mm/h is critical for the simulation accuracy. Those single-parameter wet deposition models that rely solely on the rainfall showed improvements in performance in the 1-km simulations relative to that in the 3-km simulations, because of the improved rainfall simulation in the 1-km results. Those multiparameter models that rely on both cloud and rainfall showed more robust performance in both the 3-km and -1km simulations, and the Roselle–Mircea model presented the best performance among the 25 models considered. Besides rainfall, wind transport showed substantial influence on the removal process of atmospheric 137Cs, and it was nonnegligible even during periods in which wet deposition was dominant. The ensemble mean of the 1-km simulations better reproduces the high deposition area and the total deposition amount is closer to the observations than the 3-km simulation. At the local scale, the 1-km-resolution simulations effectively reproduced the 137Cs concentrations observed at the Naraha site, but with deviations in peak timing, mainly because of biased wind direction. These findings indicate the necessity of a multi-parameter model for robust regional-scale wet deposition simulation and a refined wind and dispersion model for local-scale simulation of 137Cs concentration.