Abstract
The forces at play in reconstruction operations are a complex system of time-phased interlocking cause and effect relationships that are not always completely understood. A model capable of capturing the general dynamics involved in post-conflict reconstruction would provide insight to decision makers regarding potential policy alternatives. This paper demonstrates the viability of using systems dynamics modeling techniques to simulate the establishment of public order and safety in a post-conflict reconstruction operation (Phase IV operations). A high-level generic framework is developed that can be used as a general template for modeling post-conflict reconstruction. It is then demonstrated with a notional test case based on the Operation Iraqi Freedom (OIF) Area of Responsibility (AOR).
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