Modeling an arrested salt-wedge estuary subjected to variable river flow

Abstract

In this study we present an approach to calibrate a three-dimensional hydrodynamic model of a salt-wedge estuary, the Araranguá Estuary, southern Brazil, based on the Delft3D-FLOW model. The calibration was carried out in four steps to predict the vertical salinity structure along the estuary in an efficient and effective way. Skill assessment was used to evaluate the calibration quality. The model is forced by water-level elevation along the offshore open boundary and river-discharge inflows from the two major tributaries. The hydrodynamic model was calibrated using field observation of water level, currents and longitudinal salinity structure. Calibration was performed adjusting vertical grid resolution, bottom-friction coefficient and background eddy viscosity. The model achieves high skill values at water level and currents variations during a 113-day period (in 2008) covering a wide range of river discharge and tidal forcing. Water surface fluctuations obtained from the model are in good agreement with the field data. Modeled depth-averaged currents reproduce the temporal pattern of observed data. Longitudinal salinity structure is also well reproduced, although the vertical structure is more diffusive than the observations. Results also demonstrate that the model predicts the overall measured phenomena and the effects of the flash-flood event, with the discharge affecting water level, currents and salinity.