Model Updating of a Prestressed Concrete Rigid Frame Bridge Using Multiple Markov Chain Monte Carlo Method and Differential Evolution

Abstract

Model updating is a widely adopted method to minimize the error between test results from the real structure and outcomes from the finite element (FE) model for obtaining an accurate and reliable FE model of the target structure. However, uncertainties from the environment, excitation and measurement variability can reduce the accuracy of predictions of the updated FE model. The Bayesian model updating method using multiple Markov chains based on differential evolution adaptive metropolis (DREAM) algorithm is explored, which runs multiple chains simultaneously for a global exploration, and it automatically tunes the scale and orientation of the proposal distribution during the evolution of the posterior distribution. The performance of the proposed method is illustrated numerically with a beam model and a three-span rigid frame bridge. Results show that the DREAM algorithm is capable for updating the FE model in civil engineering. It extends the Bayesian model updating method to multiple Markov chains scenario, which provides higher accuracy than single chain algorithm such as the delayed rejection adaptive metropolis-hastings (DRAM) method. Moreover, results from both examples indicate that the proposed method is insensitive to values of initial parameters, which avoid errors resulting from inappropriate prior knowledge of parameters in the FE model updating.