Abstract

The urbanization is the sign of advanced development for an urban. In recent years, with the development of science, technology and economy and the rise of urban car ownership, urban road traffic became a severe problem. There occurred a huge number of urban road traffic accidents frequently. To study and find insufficiency for the research status at home and abroad, the four aspects --man - vehicle - road - environment are analyzed, and the comprehensive analysis of the present safety situation of urban road intersection is made. Selecting one in seven important influencing factors of urban road intersection index as a Back Propagation (BP) neural network input, the early warning model, based on BP neural network, is established. Data of existing urban road intersections is analyzed, and the results show that the BP neural network can be well applied to early warning and forecast model analysis of urban road intersection accident, thus it facilitates for the traffic administrative department of the city road intersection to predict the accident frequency of urban road intersection for the traffic accident in the future, take appropriate intervention measures and improve the safety status of urban road intersection.

Highlights

  • With the development of cities and the improvement of science and technology, traffic safety has become a hot topic in modern society

  • According to the prediction model by the 25 road intersection operation, we selected the data before 21 road intersection as Back Propagation (BP) neural network training samples, and the number of road traffic accidents samples will be prediction test samples of four intersections

  • Warning system for urban road intersections is the ultimate goal of research about the future of scientific prediction of accident frequency in road intersection, and according to the historical data and predicted data, it evaluate the security status of the current road intersection

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Summary

Introduction

With the development of cities and the improvement of science and technology, traffic safety has become a hot topic in modern society. Domestic scholars (Wang Qiquan, Feng Zhibin), according to the core of the basic theory of safety evaluation [2], with traffic accident statistics as the evaluation index, put forward the clustering analysis method. In this paper, starting from the influence factors of traffic safety, according to the intersection accidents statistics and data for the whole year in the Beijing 25 road intersections, the author selected road intersection index factors, use the BP neural network to establish model of urban road intersections safety early warning system and deepen the domestic research of early warning system for urban road intersections

Urban Road Intersection Safety Influence Factors Analysis
Human Factors
Vehicle Factor
Road Factor
Environmental Factors
The Research Methods
BP Neural Network in MATLAB Implementation
Early Warning System Index Selection
Results and Error Analysis
Conclusion
Full Text
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