Model na predpovedanie oblastí výskytu lesných požiarov = A model to predict the outbreak areas of forests arsons

Abstract

In this paper, we try to provide a geographic prediction model for burned forest areas, the research was done using multiple criteria to find spatial compatibility in geographic information systems (ArcGIS), basically 6 criteria have been adopted, which are the vegetation cover, the distance from inhabited areas, control centers, water sources, slope, roads and forest paths, This model was applied to the mount of Sidi Reghis in the province of Oum El- Bouaghi , which has been affected by many fires before, research shows that many areas are still vulnerable and may provide the appropriate conditions to define the crime of arson, which will be difficult to control. Although the precise identification of these areas requires a high degree of precision in the data used, this research attempts to provide a model that can be used to help decision-making and increase the willingness of authorities to deal with these behaviors. And to take proactive decisions to prevent these fires, including opening mountain trails, increasing monitoring centers, providing water sources, or trying to develop mountain areas to create more favorable conditions for settlement of tourist activities, or even the concentration of the population. The research also aims to protect the inhabitants of the city of Oum El-Bouaghi from the disastrous consequences that can be caused by fires in this mountain.