Abstract

When introducing new mobility offers or measures to influence traffic, stated preference (SP) surveys are often used to assess their impact. In SP surveys, respondents do not answer questions about their actual behaviour, but about hypothetical settings. Therefore, answers are often biased. To minimise this hypothetical bias, so-called stated preference-off-revealed preference (SP-off-RP) surveys were developed. They base SP questions on respondents’ revealed behaviour and place unknown scenarios in a familiar context. Until now, this method was applied mostly to scenarios investigating the willingness to pay. The application to more complex mode or route choice problems, which require the calculation of routes, has not yet been done. In this paper, the MyTrips survey tool for the collection of SP-off-RP data based on respondents’ actual mobility behaviour is presented. SP questions are based on alternatives to typical routes of respondents, which are calculated on the fly with an intermodal router. MyTrips includes a larger survey and collects mobility diaries for one day representing respondents’ daily routine, calculates alternative routes and creates SP questions based on a Bayesian optimal design. Results from two case studies investigating behaviour changes are presented. The first case study investigated the extension of a subway line in Vienna, Austria. The second case study focused on the introduction of micro transit vehicles in a rural setting, replacing infrequent bus services. Results of the two case studies show a difference in response behaviour between SP and RP settings and suggest a reduction of hypothetical bias. For the latter study, a Latent Class SP-off-RP model was estimated. It shows that availability and accessibility of public transport are the main influences on the willingness to use it, independent of other household characteristics.

Highlights

  • Introducing new mobility options is costly and acceptance of new measures by travellers is hard to estimate in advance

  • The first subsection looks at first indications of changes of the hypothetical bias and at general results of the stated preference (SP)-off-revealed preference (RP) survey

  • As described in the following paragraph, the survey data showed an effect of MyTrips on the hypothetical bias, but due to the data quality in the travel diaries the latent class models (LCM) analysis was not performed for this case study

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Summary

Introduction

Introducing new mobility options is costly and acceptance of new measures by travellers is hard to estimate in advance. In a series of papers, Train and Wilson [10, 11] develop the Stated Preference-off-Revealed Preference (SP-offRP) approach, where an actual revealed choice situation is offered within the SC experiment by changing one or more characteristics but leaving the main part of the choices as in the real situation of the respondent. They introduce a choice modelling framework to handle the resulting SP-off-RP data. (a) Novel online survey collection methodology (b) Calculation of route alternatives based on collected trip diaries (c) Design of SP choice sets from route alternatives

SP-off-RP evaluation methodology using Latent Class Models
MyTrips SP‐off‐RP data analysis and mode‐choice modelling
Results of the latent class analysis for rural micro transit
Conclusions and future work
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