Abstract

Information and Communication Technology (ICT) enabled optimisation of train’s passenger traffic flows is a key consideration of transportation under Smart City planning (SCP). Traditional mobility prediction based optimisation and encryption approaches are reactive in nature; however, Artificial Intelligence (AI) driven proactive solutions are required for near real-time optimisation. Leveraging the historical passenger data recorded via Radio Frequency Identification (RFID) sensors installed at the train stations, mobility prediction models can be developed to support and improve the railway operational performance vis-a-vis 5G and beyond. In this paper we have analysed the passenger traffic flows based on an Access, Egress and Interchange (AEI) framework to support train infrastructure against congestion, accidents, overloading carriages and maintenance. This paper predominantly focuses on developing passenger flow predictions using Machine Learning (ML) along with a novel encryption model that is capable of handling the heavy passenger traffic flow in real-time. We have compared and reported the performance of various ML driven flow prediction models using real-world passenger flow data obtained from London Underground and Overground (LUO). Extensive spatio-temporal simulations leveraging realistic mobility prediction models show that an AEI framework can achieve 91.17% prediction accuracy along with secure and light-weight encryption capabilities. Security parameters such as correlation coefficient (<0.01), entropy (>7.70), number of pixel change rate (>99%), unified average change intensity (>33), contrast (>10), homogeneity (<0.3) and energy (<0.01) prove the efficacy of the proposed encryption scheme.

Highlights

  • The current exponential passenger traffic flow is a precursor towards an imminent traffic flux, encryption, and capacity crunch

  • For Artificial Neural Network (ANN)-based prediction accuracy benchmarking, our model is trained on 7 days of the week training data where we utilise Equations (4) and (6) to predict traffic flows dependent on weights and biases for every l, layer in k intervals

  • Interchanges include passengers who alight on the same platform to take other train lines, passengers who alight on different platforms to take other train lines, and passengers who board onto the same train line but going in different directions from the same platform

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Summary

Introduction

The current exponential passenger traffic flow is a precursor towards an imminent traffic flux, encryption, and capacity crunch. In this backdrop, effective management of traffic through optimisation, preserving confidential data streams and effective utilisation of resources through deployment of a large number of 5G Heterogeneous cells (HetNets) in the train underground environment have emerged as the most conceding solution to achieve the prediction accuracies, encryption, and manifold capacity gain goal [1]. Sensors 2020, 20, 2629 in the train underground environment This is due to the complexity in high accumulated traffic flows with relevant information, i.e., traffic patterns within the LUO environment, to be optimised [1,2], and encrypted [3]. Optimisation and encryption would become significantly challenging, which eventually leads to ineffective resource management and a high number of unnecessary deployments that have CO2 emissions [3,5]

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