MO605INFLAMMATION-BASED MODIFIED GLASGOW PROGNOSTIC SCORE AND CHRONIC KIDNEY DISEASE PROGRESSION

Abstract

Abstract Background and Aims The modified Glasgow prognostic score (mGPS), based on combination between albumin (sAlb) and C-reactive protein (CRP), has been derived from oncology and validated in multiple diseases. Since chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression is related to inflammation, we aimed to evaluate the relationship between the mGPS and CKD outcome. Method The present retrospective unicentric cohort study included 547 CKD patients (age 60.2 years, 53% male, eGFR 42.0 mL/min, mean change -2 mL/min/year) admitted between January 1, 2007 and December 31, 2012. The mGPS assessment: zero points if CRP ≤10 mg/L and sAlb ≥3.5 g/dL; one point if CRP >10 mg/L and sAlb ≥3.5 g/dL, two points if CRP >10 mg/L and sAlb <3.5 g/dL. Patients records were reviewed from the CKD diagnosis to one of the four outcomes: end-stage kidney disease (ESKD), death, loss to follow-up, or until July 31, 2017. Results The mGPS score was 0 for 420 (78%), 1 for 110 (19%), and 2 for 17 (3%) patients. Rapid progression defined as a sustained decline in eGFR of more than 5 mL/min/year was found in 17% of the studied patients. More patients with rapid CKD progression were found in the group with the highest mGPS (30% vs 17%, vs 16%, p=0.05). In the multivariate analysis, mGPS was associated with the eGFR slope (OR 1.42 (95%CI 0.29, 2.55), p 0.01). Moreover, mGPS was negatively correlated with baseline eGFR (OR -3.74 (95%CI 7.8, 0.33), p 0.05) and positively with albuminuria (0.87 (95%CI 0.51, 1.23), p 0.001). During the study period, 130 patients (24%) died and 109 (20%) reached ESKD. The mean kidney survival time was 8.1 (95%CI 7.9, 8.4) years. Kidney survivals at 12, 24, 36, 48, 60, and 72 months were 96, 95, 89, 86, 83 and 82%, respectively. In univariate time-dependent analysis, patients with zero mGPS had better kidney survival than those with the score of one and two (99.9 (95%CI 96.9, 102.9) vs 92.1 (95%CI 85.2, 99.0) vs 78.1 (95%CI 60.4, 95.4) months, log rank p=0.02). However, the kidney survival differences were not present after adjusting for CKD progression risk factors (HR 1.12 (95%CI 0.78, 1.62), p 0.5). Conclusion The inflammation-based mGPS score was associated with eGFR decline in CKD patients. Therefore, could prove useful in improving risk stratification of CKD patients.