Abstract

For intelligent risk prediction and optimization in the shield tunnel excavation under uncertainty, this paper proposes a data-driven decision support framework based on the integration of deep neural network and gradient descent technique (DNN-GDO). More specifically, the DNN architecture for modeling non-linear relationships between influential factors and potential risk is superior in concurrently extracting and learning features from multi-variable inputs, while the GDO technique as a solution for the multi-objective optimization problem can be directly applied in the established DNN model to provide suggestions for reducing or preventing potential risks in the tunneling environment. To reveal the effectiveness of the developed approach, it is performed in a practical tunnel construction case in the Wuhan metro system, China. Sixteen decision variables belong to four categories of tunnel design, geology, the tunnel boring machine (TBM) operation, and surrounding building are taken into account, which are closely relevant to two significant risks named the accumulative ground settlement and building tilt rate. It has been found that the end-to-end learning pipeline based on DNN can yield high accuracy in the multi-output regression task, resulting in the mean-square error (MSE) of 0.737 and 0.002 for the two target risks, respectively. GDO is proven useful in not only finding the optimal solutions for effective risk control but also uncovering the key features for a better explanation of the optimization process. It has been proved that optimal solutions derived from GDO can flexibly guide to adjust input variables of interest to achieve the minimal risk degree. Besides, cutter rotating speed and ground volume of TBM along with the relative horizontal distance of buildings turn out to be the top 3 critical features contributing more to the tunnel-induced risk mitigation, which deserve more attention. In brief, the novel DNN-GDO decision tool supports to formulate meaningful strategies objectively and efficiently for tunneling safety assurance, which no longer largely relies on time-consuming and laborious manual assessment.

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