Abstract

Significance The impact of any candidate not from the two major parties is traditionally dismissed but, with this year’s presidential race looking as close as that of 2020, the possibility that Kennedy and others will attract votes from Democrats and Republicans is being taken seriously. Impacts Independent candidates are less likely to impact House, Senate or gubernatorial races than the presidential contest. Kennedy or a No Labels candidate will not be given an opportunity to debate on stage with Biden or Trump, limiting their exposure. Even if independent candidates prove important this year, there will be no attempt to make such challenges easier in the future.

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