Minimal wave speed for a two-group epidemic model with nonlocal dispersal and spatial-temporal delay

Abstract

In this paper, a two-group SIR reaction-diffusion epidemic model with nonlocal dispersal and spatial-temporal delay based on within-group and inter-group transmission mechanisms is investigated. The basic reproduction number R0 is calculated using the method of next-generation matrix. The critical wave speed cm* is determined by analyzing the distribution of roots of the characteristic equation. When R0>1 and wave speed c⩾cm*, the existence of traveling waves connecting disease-free and endemic steady states is obtained by constructing sub- and super-solutions and a Lyapunov functional, and applying Schauder’s fixed-point theorem and a limit argument. When R0>1 and 0<c<cm*, the nonexistence of traveling waves connecting disease-free and endemic steady states is proven by contradiction and two-sided Laplace transform. This indicates that the critical wave speed cm* is exactly the minimum wave speed. Numerical simulations are carried out to illustrate theoretical results. The dependence of the minimal speed cm* on time delay, diffusion rates and contact rates is discussed, showing that the longer the latent period and the lower the diffusion rates of infected individuals and the inter-group transmission rates between groups, the slower the spread of disease.