MIMO: A Unified Spatio-Temporal Model for Multi-Scale Sea Surface Temperature Prediction

Abstract

Sea surface temperature (SST) is a crucial factor that affects global climate and marine activities. Predicting SST at different temporal scales benefits various applications, from short-term SST prediction for weather forecasting to long-term SST prediction for analyzing El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO). However, existing approaches for SST prediction train separate models for different temporal scales, which is inefficient and cannot take advantage of the correlations among the temperatures of different scales to improve the prediction performance. In this work, we propose a unified spatio-temporal model termed the Multi-In and Multi-Out (MIMO) model to predict SST at different scales. MIMO is an encoder–decoder model, where the encoder learns spatio-temporal features from the SST data of multiple scales, and fuses the learned features with a Cross Scale Fusion (CSF) operation. The decoder utilizes the learned features from the encoder to adaptively predict the SST of different scales. To our best knowledge, this is the first work to predict SST at different temporal scales simultaneously with a single model. According to the experimental evaluation on the Optimum Interpolation SST (OISST) dataset, MIMO achieves the state-of-the-art prediction performance.