Midwifery learning and forecasting: Predicting content demand with user-generated logs

Abstract

Every day, 800 women and 6700 newborns die from complications related to pregnancy or childbirth. A well-trained midwife can prevent most of these maternal and newborn deaths. Data science models together with logs generated by users of online learning applications for midwives can help improve their learning competencies. In this work, we evaluate various forecasting methods to determine the future interest of users for the different types of content available in the Safe Delivery App, a digital training tool for skilled birth attendants, broken down by profession and region. This first attempt at health content demand forecasting for midwifery learning shows that DeepAR can accurately anticipate content demand in operational settings, and could therefore be used to offer users personalized content and to provide an adaptive learning journey.