Midlife infarct burden and risk of dementia: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Neurocognitive Study

Abstract

AbstractBackgroundImaging‐based markers of cerebrovascular disease are associated with adverse health events, including incident dementia. However, only infarcts ≥3mm are typically considered in clinical and research settings. Recent evidence demonstrates that smaller infarcts in individuals during mid‐life, particularly when co‐occurring with larger infarcts, may be clinically relevant to cognitive decline, incident stroke, and stroke mortality. We aimed to determine if there was a similar compounding of risk for incident dementia among those with both smaller and larger infarcts at midlife.MethodThe ARIC study is a multi‐site longitudinal cohort study which began in 1987. At visit 3 (1993‐95), brain 1.5T MRI scans were completed in 1881 participants with self‐reported Black/White race and no history of stroke (Mean age=62.9±4.9, 40% Male, 50% Black). Infarcts were identified on T2 and proton density weighted images, with smaller infarcts defined as those <3mm and larger infarcts defined as ≥3mm. All participants were followed prospectively for incident dementia using a combination of medical record surveillance, telephone interviews, in‐person assessments, and expert adjudicated dementia status at three in‐person exams (2011‐2013, 2015‐17, 2018‐19). Cox regression was used to determine the association between infarct group [none(referent), smaller only, larger only, both] and incident dementia adjusted for age, sex, education, site‐race, APOE4, and competing risk of mortality.ResultAmong 1881 participants, 539 incident dementia cases were identified over 25 years of follow‐up. 1611 participants were infarct‐free, 50 participants had only smaller infarcts, 185 had only larger infarcts, and 35 participants had both. Compared to those with no infarcts, participants with both smaller and larger infarcts were over 2.5 times more likely to develop dementia [Hazard Ratio(HR)=2.61; 95% Confidence Interval(CI)=1.44, 4.72]. Associations were in similar directions but had wider and indeterminate confidence intervals when comparing the smaller infarcts only (HR=1.22; 95%CI=0.70, 2.13) or larger infarcts only (HR=1.27; 95%CI=0.92, 1.74) to the no infarct group. Of the 35 participants with both smaller and larger infarcts, all but two either died or developed dementia.ConclusionA midlife infarct burden including both smaller and larger lesions may represent a vulnerability to dementia beyond the risk conferred by either smaller or larger infarcts alone.