Microwave ablation versus liver resection for primary intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma within Milan criteria: a long-term multicenter cohort study

Abstract

Ablation has been recommended by worldwide guidelines as first-line treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), while evidence regarding its efficacy for primary intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCCA) is lacking. We aimed to study the efficacy of ablation in treating iCCA by comparing its prognosis with surgery. In this real-world multicenter cohort study from January 2009 to June 2022, 10,441 iCCA patients from ten tertiary hospitals were identified. Patients who underwent curative-intent microwave ablation (MWA) or liver resection (LR) for tumors within Milan criteria were included. One-to-many propensity score matching (PSM) at variable ratios (1:n≤4) was used to balance baseline characteristics. Mediation analysis was applied to identify potential mediators of the survival difference. 944 patients were finally enrolled in this study, with 221 undergoing MWA and 723 undergoing LR. After PSM, 203 patients in the MWA group were matched with 588 patients in the LR group. The median follow-up time was 4.7 years. Compared with LR, MWA demonstrated similar overall survival (5-year 44.8% versus 40.4%; HR 0.96, 95% CI 0.71-1.29, P=.761). There was an improvement in the 5-year disease-free survival rate for MWA from 17.1% during the period of 2009-2016 to 37.3% during 2017-2022, becoming comparable to the 40.8% of LR (P=.129). The proportion of ablative margins ≥5mm increased from 25% to 61% over the two periods, while this proportion of surgical margins was 62% and 77%, respectively. 34.5% of DFS disparity can be explained by the mediation effect of margins (P<.0001). Similar DFS was observed when both ablative and surgical margins exceeded 5mm (HR 0.83, 95% CI 0.52-1.32, P=.41). MWA may be considered as a viable alternative to LR for iCCA within Milan criteria when an adequate margin can be obtained. National Natural Science Foundation of China.