Abstract

In Low Arctic tundra, thermal erosion of ice‐rich permafrost soils (thermokarst) has increased in frequency since the 1980s. Retrogressive thaw slumps (RTS) are thermokarst disturbances forming large open depressions on hillslopes through soil wasting and vegetation displacement. Tall (>0.5 m) deciduous shrubs have been observed in RTS a decade after disturbance. RTS may provide conditions suitable for seedling recruitment, which may contribute to Arctic shrub expansion. We quantified in situ seedling abundance, and size and viability of soil seedbanks in greenhouse trials for two RTS chronosequences near lakes on Alaska's North Slope. We hypothesized recent RTS provide microsites for greater recruitment than mature RTS or undisturbed tundra. We also hypothesized soil seedbanks demonstrate quantity–quality trade‐offs; younger seedbanks contain smaller numbers of mostly viable seed that decrease in viability as seed accumulates over time. We found five times as many seedlings in younger RTS as in older RTS, including birch and willow, and no seedlings in undisturbed tundra. Higher seedling counts were associated with bare soil, warmer soils, higher soil available nitrogen, and less plant cover. Seedbank viability was unrelated to size. Older seedbanks were larger at one chronosequence, with no difference in percent germination. At the other chronosequence, germination was lower from older seedbanks but seedbank size was not different. Seedbank germination was positively associated with in situ seedling abundance at one RTS chronosequence, suggesting postdisturbance revegetation from seedbanks. Thermal erosion may be important for recruitment in tundra by providing bare microsites that are warmer, more nutrient‐rich, and less vegetated than in undisturbed ground. Differences between two chronosequences in seedbank size, viability, and species composition suggest disturbance interacts with local conditions to form seedbanks. RTS may act as seedling nurseries to benefit many Arctic species as climate changes, particularly those that do not produce persistent seed.

Highlights

  • Climate warming in the Arctic is likely to increase the frequency of landscape disturbance (IPCC, 2014), resulting in increased oppor‐ tunities for seedling recruitment

  • In partial support of Fox's (1983) pre‐ diction that seedbank size increases with plant productivity and seed rain, we found most seedbanks associated with plant cover, seed rain showed no relationship to seedbank size

  • In contrast to sedge‐dominated seedbanks found in some Alaskan Arctic soils (Ebersole, 1989), the largest seedbanks we found were from NE‐14’s old Retrogressive thaw slumps (RTS) and undisturbed tundra and were primarily composed of dwarf birch (Betula nana) and evergreen spe‐ cies

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Summary

| INTRODUCTION

Climate warming in the Arctic is likely to increase the frequency of landscape disturbance (IPCC, 2014), resulting in increased oppor‐ tunities for seedling recruitment. Seedling recruitment in tundra communities is considered infrequent compared to clonal growth of established individuals (Eriksson, 1989; Rowe, 1983), due to short growing seasons and lack of suitable microsites. The contribution of seedlings versus clonal expansion in forming shrub thickets is not well studied, but thermal erosion appears to provide conditions for increased seed production and suitable microsites for the formation of seedbeds and thickets in some sites (Figure 1c,d; Frost, Epstein, Walker, Matyshak, & Ermokhina, 2013; Lantz et al, 2009). All other things being equal, if recruit‐ ment depends upon suitable site conditions, recruitment potential will be higher in RTS than in undisturbed tundra, because disturbed ground is free of competing vegetation and may have more space, light, and available nutrients. We assessed relationships between seedbanks and their environmental condi‐ tions to understand whether composition and performance of seed‐ banks are best explained by RTS age, microsite conditions, location, or some combination of these factors

| MATERIALS AND METHODS
| DISCUSSION
| CONCLUSION
Findings
CONFLICT OF INTEREST
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