Abstract

Much of the debate around free trade and, in particular, much of the North American opposition to the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) has been framed in terms that would suggest that Canadian and U.S. losses will be Mexico’s gain. Even before an agreement was worked out, it appeared that, in aggregate economic terms, Mexico could be the partner that might benefit most from a free trade treaty. But while Mexico may improve its economic situation, undoubtedly many Mexicans will not. However, precisely which Mexicans—that is, which sectors of the economy and which social classes—will gain or lose ground was difficult to predict before the details of the bilateral negotiations with the United States were known.

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