Methods to Analyze Traffic Demand Formation in Intelligent Transportation and Logistic Regional Network

Abstract

The paper provides a systematic approach, the theoretical and methodological aspects of analyzing the formation of demand for the use of the transport and logistic infrastructures of the region when forming the regional module of the intelligent transport and logistic system are considered. On the basis of the main provisions of the theory of "growth poles" in the regional, federal and world economies, a proactive management of the development of the transport and logistics structure of the region is proposed taking into account the criteria of its effectiveness, which take into account not only the development of the transport and logistic infrastructure of the region, its socio-economic development, but also the development of transport and logistics infrastructure and the socio-economic development of the subjects adjacent to it. This will allow in the future, solving the problem of the spatial development of the transport and logistics infrastructure of the regions, to solve the problem of the spatial development of the Russian Federation. Analysis of the formation of demand for the use of international transport corridors passing through the region should be carried out taking into account the study of the transport and logistics needs of the regions based on the criteria for the effectiveness of the functioning of the national transport and logistics system. It was proposed to carry out research, planning, forecasting of transport and logistics needs of production, trade, transport and logistics organizations, customers and consumers of transport services, using the capabilities of the regional transport and logistic information system (RTLIS). RTLIS is an electronic information resource accumulating information related to transport and logistics operations carried out in the region or carried out through the region. The system includes various portals, including a portal for electronic placement of orders for transport and logistic services. In the study of transport and logistic needs, intra-regional and transit cargo flows, terminal complexes and warehouses, transport mobility of the population, attendance of public centers of gravity, places of work, study and service are investigated; single acts of transportation of goods by the population. In the study of transport services, enterprises that form and absorb cargo flows, the capabilities of terminal complexes, all types of public land vehicles, which form passenger traffic, personal travel by personal transport, and rolling stock capacity are considered. The development of methods for automated analysis of the formation of demand will make it possible to efficiently use the transport and logistic system of the region, increase the efficiency of enterprises’ production activities and improve the quality of transport services for the population.