Abstract

A methodology for modeling dynamics and controlling the fight against wild processes on the Earth’s surface on basis the space technologies is proposed. Large forest fires considered as important illustration of such processes. A simple mathematical model proposed that describes the dynamics of the area covered by the spontaneous process, as well as actions to stop this process. Examples of calculating the parameters of real wildfires are given. An experiment on predicting the dynamics of a large wildfire using a neural network based on space monitoring data, as well as data from territorial divisions of forest guard enterprises and the Ministry of Emergencies are describing. It is shown how, according to the dynamics of the area occupied by the spontaneous process, is possible to estimate its configuration, as well as the intensity of the impact on it.

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