Methods for removing uncertainty in multi-criteria problems of effectiveness evaluation of decision-making

Abstract

A scientific approach to methods of technical support, economic and organizational management, as well as planning the activities of enterprises often dictates the need to make decisions not on one but on several performance indicators simultaneously. The presence of a number of situations with one or another degree of uncertainty in modern difficult conditions of forecasting requires the involvement of a certain mathematical apparatus for its description. The task of removing uncertainty is becoming complicated if it is necessary to evaluate the effectiveness of control actions in the system according to several performance criteria. Therefore, at present, the development of mathematical methods is actively underway, which allows solving applied problems in a multi-criterial formulation. The article describes the approach to solving multi-criteria problems based on the principle of observing the hierarchical ratio of probabilities of possible states of the external environment of the study.