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Abstract
The problem of determining the Green IT development strategy using decision support tools is described in the article. Technology Green IT is a typical result of the advanced technologies convergence, especially information and knowledge. The expediency of the foresight technology applying for the Green IT development perspective directions evaluating is shown. It is indicated that the most critical, in this case, is the stage of forming the initial list of directions. The technology of retrospective analysis of the Green IT development based on the parametric synthesis of the predictive model of exponential smoothing under the conditions of data uncertainty is presented. For the implementation of the parametric analysis of Brown’s predictive model, or exponential smoothing, is used the exponential average value of the stationary time series to evaluate its value at the next time point. The applying of the developed technology provides experts with additional volumes of information about the perspectives for the Green IT development. An example of a retrospective analysis of the Green IT development directions is given. The initial data for the retrospective analysis used the number of scientific publications for the period from 2010 to 2015 in Ukraine, which characterizes the Green IT direction development. The following directions were assessed: green software engineering, software ecosystem, energy-saving green software and green telecommunications. As a result, the most promising direction is green software engineering. The results of the analysis are one of the sources of information for assessing the perspectives for the Green IT development directions by experts
Highlights
A retrospective analysis of the direction of development of Green IT was conducted and it was found that the smallest perspective, in the future, has a direction of the software ecosystem, and the largest – green software engineering
It is proposed to improve the technology of foresight research for determine the Green IT development by completing the second stage of foresight “Forming the initial list of the Green IT directions” by parametric synthesis methods of the exponential smoothing predictive model under uncertainty of data
The applying of the retrospective analysis of the Green IT development provides the formation of an additional information source for experts assessing the perspectives of the Green IT development directions in the second stage of the foresight research
Summary
2. Forming the initial list of the Green IT directions. Forming the initial list of the Green IT directions It gy Green IT is a typical result of Mariia Danova. For obtained the lists the process of forming the initial ment strategy using decision support tools is described in the of Green IT development direclist of Green IT directions devel- article. The expediency of the foresight technology applying for provided by technique of forewith this circumstance suggested the Green IT development perspective directions evaluating is sight-researches. The technology assessments for each of the criteof uncertainty in the decision of retrospective analysis of the Green IT development based ria, which will help to determine making process when evaluating on the parametric synthesis of the predictive model of expo- the number of priority
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