Abstract
This paper describes a method for taking the forecasting uncertainty into account when assessing the impact of volatile generation on power grids. To this end the generation of feed-in scenarios for generation plants that include the uncertainty of the weather forecast is described. With a three-step model that firstly forecasts local weather parameters and, secondly, generates scenarios for these parameters, thirdly, a reduced number of resulting feed-in profile scenarios for each plant is computed. With these scenarios the assessment of the grid-impact of the plants can be calculated taking into account the uncertainty of the prognosis. In a case study, feed-in profiles for the plants in an exemplary region are generated which can be used for an assessment of the grid impact in this region using probabilistic load flow calculation.
Talk to us
Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have
Disclaimer: All third-party content on this website/platform is and will remain the property of their respective owners and is provided on "as is" basis without any warranties, express or implied. Use of third-party content does not indicate any affiliation, sponsorship with or endorsement by them. Any references to third-party content is to identify the corresponding services and shall be considered fair use under The CopyrightLaw.