Method and algorithm for Bayesian estimation of kinetic parameters of chemical processes with fluctuating independent variables

Abstract

A method for the calculation of the effect of fluctuations of independent variables on the estimates of kinetic parameters is developed. Fluctuations of variables are random deviations from the accepted constant values or predetermined time dependences. The method is based on the application of the generalized probability function and the Bayesian approach. An algorithm for the realization of the suggested method is also developed. The proposed method and algorithm were used to estimate the kinetic parameters of chemical reactions under temperature fluctuations. The given example is described in detail.