Abstract
201 Background: Recent trials have shown that apalutamide and enzalutamide can improve metastasis free survival (MFS) in advanced non-metastatic (M0) castrate-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC). MFS is a novel clinical endpoint, demonstrated to be a strong predictor of overall survival (OS) for localized prostate cancer, yet it is unknown if this is also true for M0 CRPC. Our aim was to determine how strongly MFS in M0 CRPC correlates with OS in a real world population. Secondary analyses evaluated whether a rapid PSA-doubling time (PSADT), of ≤10 months, impacts outcomes. Methods: We performed an analysis of patients diagnosed with advanced prostate cancer, followed at the Tom Baker Cancer Centre, in Calgary, Alberta from 2001-2017. Patients were excluded if they did not develop M0 CRPC. MFS and OS were measured using the Kaplan-Meier method and the log-rank test was used to compare outcomes based on PSADT. Correlation between OS and MFS was determined using Pearson Correlation and Kendall’s Tau-B. Results: A total of 1310 patients were identified with advanced prostate cancer, of which 87 developed M0 CRPC. The median age of diagnosis of M0 CRPC was 72 years, with a median Gleason score of 7.0, initial PSA of 10.4, and PSADT of 5.1 months. Only 6 patients were treated with second-generation anti-androgens or chemotherapy. Median MFS and OS after M0 CRPC diagnosis were 44.1 and 83.7 months, respectively. Pearson Correlation between MFS and OS was strong with a coefficient of 0.850 (p < 0.001); with non-parametric Kendall’s Tau, correlation was also strong with a coefficient of 0.632 (p < 0.001). PSADT ≤10 months was identified in 70 patients, and associated with a significantly shorter MFS, compared to a PSADT > 10 months (40.2 vs. 90.4 months; p = 0.001), as well as shorter OS (76.2 vs. 104.3 months; p = 0.008). Conclusions: MFS for M0 CRPC is strongly correlated with OS in a real world population. PSADT of ≤10 months seems to be a useful prognostic tool in estimating MFS and OS in patients with M0 CRPC. MFS was better than expected even in patients with a PSADT of ≤10 months, which may due to our adherence to the biochemical definition of castration-resistant disease, as well as lack of standard imaging intervals in the real world.
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