Abstract

Parkinson's disease (PD) is a neurodegenerative disorder characterized by diverse symptoms, where accurate diagnosis remains challenging. Traditional clinical observation methods often result in misdiagnosis, highlighting the need for biomarker-based diagnostic approaches. This study utilizes ultraperformance liquid chromatography coupled to an electrospray ionization source and quadrupole time-of-flight untargeted metabolomics combined with biochemometrics to identify novel serum biomarkers for PD. Analyzing a Brazilian cohort of serum samples from 39 PD patients and 15 healthy controls, we identified 15 metabolites significantly associated with PD, with 11 reported as potential biomarkers for the first time. Key disrupted metabolic pathways include caffeine metabolism, arachidonic acid metabolism, and primary bile acid biosynthesis. Our machine learning model demonstrated high accuracy, with the Rotation Forest boosting model achieving 94.1% accuracy in distinguishing PD patients from controls. It is based on three new PD biomarkers (downregulated: 1-lyso-2-arachidonoyl-phosphatidate and hypoxanthine and upregulated: ferulic acid) and surpasses the general 80% diagnostic accuracy obtained from initial clinical evaluations conducted by specialists. Besides, this machine learning model based on a decision tree allowed for visual and easy interpretability of affected metabolites in PD patients. These findings could improve the detection and monitoring of PD, paving the way for more precise diagnostics and therapeutic interventions. Our research emphasizes the critical role of metabolomics and machine learning in advancing our understanding of the chemical profile of neurodegenerative diseases.

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