Abstract

Improvement of the breeding efficiencies of heterotic crops adaptive to different conditions can mitigate the food shortage crisis due to overpopulation and climate change. To date, diverse molecular markers have been used to guide field phenotypic selection, whereas accurate predictions of complex heterotic traits are rarely reported. Here, we present a practical metabolome-based strategy for predicting yield heterosis in rice. The dissection of population structure based on untargeted metabolite profiles as the initial critical step in multivariate modeling performed better than the screening of predictive variables. Then the assessment of each predictive variable's contribution to predictive models according to all latent factors was more precise than the conventional first one. Metabolites belonging to specific pathways were closely associated with yield heterosis, and the up-regulation of galactose metabolism promoted robust yield heterosis in hybrids under different growth conditions. Our study demonstrates that metabolome-based predictive models with correctly dissected population structure and screened predictive variables can facilitate accurate predictions of yield heterosis and have great potential for establishing molecular marker-based precision breeding programs.

Highlights

  • Hybrid rice has a higher yield than conventional rice and has contributed greatly to boosting global food production over the past four decades (Cheng et al, 2007)

  • The results of marker-based performance prediction in maize, rice, wheat, sorghum, and potato demonstrate that various factors, including genetic relatedness (Zhao et al, 2015; Yu et al, 2016), environmental differences (Li et al, 2018; Sprenger et al, 2018), predictive variable number (Technow et al, 2014; de Abreu et al, 2017; Sprenger et al, 2018), feature selection method (Xu et al, 2014; de Abreu et al, 2017), and population structure and size (Riedelsheimer et al, 2012a; Xu et al, 2014; Zhao et al, 2015), can affect the power of predictive models

  • We performed untargeted liquid chromatography–mass spectrometry (LC-MS) analysis of 15-d-old seedlings of the parents of both populations, and a total of 3,746 metabolic analytes were detected in the parents (Table S3)

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Summary

Introduction

Hybrid rice has a higher yield than conventional rice and has contributed greatly to boosting global food production over the past four decades (Cheng et al, 2007). To build predictive models for rice hybrids under different growth conditions, we measured the grain yield of two F1 hybrid populations (Pop2012 and Pop2015) and calculated better-parent heterosis for yield per plant (BPH-YPP) for subsequent analysis (Table S1).

Results
Conclusion
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