Abstract

The combination of PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors and molecular targeted agents showed promising efficacy for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (uHCC). This study aimed to investigate the prognostic value of metabolic parameters from 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography-computed tomography (18F-FDG PET/CT) in patients with uHCC underwent the combined therapies. Patients with uHCC treated with a combination of immunotherapy and targeted therapy who underwent baseline 18F-FDG PET/CT between July 2018 and December 2021 were recruited retrospectively. The metabolic tumor volume (MTV), total lesion glycolysis (TLG), maximum standardized uptake values (SUVmax), and clinical and biological parameters were recorded. A multivariate prediction model was developed for overall survival (OS) using these parameters together with clinical prognostic factors. Seventy-seven patients were finally included. The median OS was 16.8 months. We found that a high MTV (≥39.65 cm3 as the median value) was significantly associated with OS (P<0.05). In multivariate analyses for OS, a high MTV, high Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status (ECOG-PS, ≥1), Child-Pugh (B-C) grade, and the presence of bone metastasis were significantly associated with poor OS (HR 1.371, HR 3.73, HR 15.384, and HR 2.994, all P<0.05, respectively). A multivariate prognostic model including MTV and prognostic factors, such as ECOG-PS, Child-Pugh grade, and bone metastasis, further improved the identification of different OS subgroups. High MTV is an adverse prognostic factor in patients with uHCC treated with a combination of immunotherapy and molecular targeted agents. Integrating PET/CT parameters with clinical prognostic factors could help to personalize immunotherapy.

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