MERRA-2 reanalysis-aided sea fog detection based on CALIOP observation over North Pacific

Abstract

Sea fog can lead to a dangerous meteorological hazard over oceans and coastal areas. Cloud-aerosol Lidar with Orthogonal Polarization (CALIOP) is an effective tool to detect sea fog, however it is ineffective for dense fog detection because the lidar signal has been fully attenuated before reaching the layer base. To address this issue by improving dense fog detection, a reanalysis-aided sea fog detection method using CALIOP lidar measurements and MERRA-2 reanalysis dataset is proposed taking the Northwestern Pacific (NP) as study area. In this method, CALIOP lidar measurements are used to locate the ceiling and base of the hydrometeor layers, and extract the candidate fog layers in the Marine Atmospheric Boundary Layer (MABL). Reanalysis dataset are used to identify real fog from the candidate fog layers based on the near-surface meteorological difference under different weather conditions (sea fog, stratus and stratus precipitation). Method validation using in-situ weather records from the International Comprehensive Ocean-Atmosphere Data Set (ICOADS) and five climate stations, shows the detection accuracy and false alarm rate of 89.4% and 2.0%, respectively. Most importantly, about 87.4% of dense fogs are successfully discriminated with the aid of reanalysis data. Model application to CALIOP data from 2007 to 2019 shows pronounced spatial and seasonal characteristics of sea fog distribution over NP, with the highest frequency (>40%) found over the Kuril Islands, Sea of Okhotsk and Bering Sea from June to August. The example demonstrates that by using time series CALIOP observations and the proposed method, one may expect spatio-temporally complete sea fog information, which is important especially for remote regions with scarce in-situ measurements (e.g. polar regions). Our research proposes and proves a novel idea of sea fog detection from space by using satellite lidar and reanalysis data, which may benefit the sea fog forecasting and dynamics analysis, by providing unprecedented large-scale high-quality observations, especially over dense fog conditions.