Abstract

A prospective study to determine prognostic factors for risk stratification in 867 patients surviving the coronary care unit phase of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) is reported. During a 48-month follow-up, 144 patients (17%) died. The deaths were examined for the chronology, cause, mechanism, location and presence of myocardial ischemia in the terminal event. A classification previously proposed by Hinkle and Thaler was used to define the mechanism of cardiac death and the presence of ischemia. There were 113 deaths due to coronary atherosclerotic coronary artery disease, including 5 due to complications of coronary artery bypass graft surgery. Of the remaining 108 of these deaths, 74% were classified as due to an arrhythmic mechanism and 26% as myocardial failure. Of the deaths due to an arrhythmia or to myocardial failure, 56 (52%) occurred out of hospital. The ratio of arrhythmic: myocardial failure deaths was not different for the patients who died within 3 months after the Index AMI compared with later deaths. Sudden death (≤1 hour of new symptoms) was strongly associated with arrhythmic death but 32 (54%) of patients who died >1 hour after the onset of symptoms were also classified as having an arrhythmic cause of death. Previously described risk factors, including an ejection fraction <0.40 and ≥10 ventricular premature complexes/hour, were independent predictors of mortality but did not differentially predict the mechanism of cardiac death. Evidence of myocardial ischemia before the terminal event was found in about 50 (60%) patients whose deaths were witnessed and who died from an arrhythmia or myocardial failure.

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