Abstract

In the era of big science, countries allocate big research and development budgets to large scientific facilities that boost collaboration and research capability. A nuclear fusion device called the “tokamak” is a source of great interest for many countries because it ideally generates sustainable energy expected to solve the energy crisis in the future. Here, to explore the scientific effects of tokamaks, we map a country’s research capability in nuclear fusion research with normalized revealed comparative advantage on five topical clusters—material, plasma, device, diagnostics, and simulation—detected through a dynamic topic model. Our approach captures not only the growth of China, India, and the Republic of Korea but also the decline of Canada, Japan, Sweden, and the Netherlands. Time points of their rise and fall are related to tokamak operation, highlighting the importance of large facilities in big science. The gravity model points out that two countries collaborate less in device, diagnostics, and plasma research if they have comparative advantages in different topics. This relation is a unique feature of nuclear fusion compared to other science fields. Our results can be used and extended when building national policies for big science.

Highlights

  • Big science is characterized by its big budgets, manpower, and machines

  • Among many aspects of the national research capacity, this study focuses on academic publishing to estimate the capacity quantitatively [16,17,18,19,20,21,22], which we term “research capability,” by implementing topic modeling and revealed comparative advantage on the bibliographic information of research papers

  • We investigate nuclear fusion, in which the construction of large facilities and international collaborations are crucial

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Summary

Introduction

Big science is characterized by its big budgets, manpower, and machines. It includes a number of multidisciplinary fields such as nuclear fusion, particle accelerators, and space science [1]. Normalized revealed comparative advantage (NRCA) [25] is applied to fractional publication counts for projecting a country’s research capability as well as its changes by facility construction. Based on NRCA, we measure how similar two countries’ research capabilities are and include the distance in a gravity model to show its impact on international collaboration.

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