Abstract

Abstract The Capacitance Model (CM) has been used to analyze flow rates to measure interwell connectivity (IWC). Numerous case studies show the CM can successfully predict production and identify flow paths and barriers in conventional reservoirs. The challenge is to extend the CM to perform as well in tight reservoirs, which includes fields with high well densities. Fields with such large numbers of wells creates the need to perform IWC evaluations over small regions, called windows, to speed computation and preserve the accuracy of estimates. Windowing, however, creates a problem in that wells within the window may be in communication with wells outside the window. The contribution of the outside wells can be significant and affect the IWC estimation. A CM modification is described which has a ‘pseudo well’, decoupling the outside wells from the window and accounting for varying parameters embedded in an estimate in low permeability reservoirs. We tested the new model with numerical simulation cases. The CM accuracy (ie simulated vs CM-predicted production rates) is very high (R2> 0.98) for both cases with balanced injection/production and those with local imbalances. The errors (RMSE) of the modified CM-predicted production rates are one-half the unmodified CM errors.. In the Cardium East Pembina field, we used the modified CM to analyze several areas having differing amounts of conglomerate and hydraulically fractured wells. IWC evaluations included areas with wells which were fractured after several years of production and we could therefore compare the pre-fracture IWC with the post-fracture IWC values. The IWC results clearly show elevated connectivities reflecting the presence of conglomerate. The model also captures differences between pre- and post-fracturing connectivities. The direction of the largest IWC change agrees with the expected maximum stress (fracture) direction (NE-SW) in the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin. The matches to measured production are very good, 0.76 < R2 < 0.95. With the new method, we do not need to include all nearby wells in the window and it tolerates the changes in an estimate accounting for the storage effect and long production well shut-in periods during analysis (tshut-in > 12 months). Due to the windowing capability, the method also enables us to make local IWC evaluations accurately in large tight reservoirs where injectors might have a similar injection profile. The field data illustrate the method's utility and insights it brings.

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