Abstract

Earlier intervention for pulmonary hypertension (PH) has been reported to improve the prognosis of patients with connective tissue disease (CTD). However, it is not fully elucidated how rapidly PH develops in patients showing normal mean pulmonary arterial pressure (mPAP) at the index investigation. We evaluated 191 CTD patients with normal mPAP retrospectively. The mPAP was estimated by the formerly defined method employing echocardiography (mPAPecho). We investigated predictive factors that predict increasing mPAPecho at follow-up transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) using uni- and multi variable analysis. The mean age was 61.5years old, and 160 patients were female. The percentage of patients in whom mPAPecho exceeded 20mmHg at follow-up TTE was 38%. Multivariable analysis revealed that acceleration time/ejection time (AcT/ET) measured at the right ventricular outflow tract at initial TTE was independently associated with the consequent increase of mPAPecho at the follow-up TTE. When using 0.43 of best cutoff value in AcT/ET calculated by receiver operating characteristic analysis, the change in mPAPecho in patients with low AcT/ET was significantly higher than in those with high AcT/ET (3.05mmHg in patients with AcT/ET < 0.43 and 1.00mmHg in patients with AcT/ET ≥ 0.43, p < 0.001). Thirty-eight percent of CTD patients who show the normal estimated mPAP by TTE develop gradual elevation of mPAP to the level to consider early intervention within 2years. AcT/ET at initial TTE can predict increasing mPAP at follow-up TTE.

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