Abstract

<p><span lang="EN-US">Over the past two years, <span>the refugee crisis resulted from the racial conflict, persecution, generalized violence and violations of human rights has forced an enormous </span>number of refugees to flee to Europe. Aiming to address the problem caused by the flow of refugees, we analyzed the actual procedure of their movement and divide it into three major stages. We designed the gathering model, the entering model, the transferring model, even the health and safety model. Finally, we used the models described above to complete our assigned tasks. Also we put forward seven major policy recommendations to the committee. We accompanied every policy with a straightforward explanation so that people without any technical background can easily understand our insights. The main strength of our model is that it can forecast the flow of immigration and provide meaningful suggestions policies for refugees. With the help of modern computing software, we can track the current tendency and make judges efficiently.</span></p>

Highlights

  • In order to illustrate the problems caused by the influx of refugees inside or outside of their source country into Europe, the following background is worth mentioning.1.1 Crisis OverviewWith the serious and turbulent situation in the west of Asia and north of Africa in 2015, numerous people are forced to leave their homes, especially in Syria and Afghanistan, fleeing their countries through the sea and land route into Europe to find security, support and sufficient food and water to live on

  • Aiming to address the problem caused by the flow of refugees, we analyzed the actual procedure of their movement and divide it into three major stages

  • Considering that the mortality rate is much higher on the routes overseas according to statistics (Baronett, 2008), we focus on the overloading on sea, where the boat owners are driven by a desire for profit, and where the surroundings is much more hostile

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Summary

Crisis Overview

With the serious and turbulent situation in the west of Asia and north of Africa in 2015, numerous people are forced to leave their homes, especially in Syria and Afghanistan, fleeing their countries through the sea and land route into Europe to find security, support and sufficient food and water to live on. This is the second biggest refugee immigration crisis that happened in Europe since the World War Two. A picture about a young baby huddling up his little body died on the beach is the epitome of lack of the safe transportation vehicles and protection. Attention has been aroused by public that the refugee crisis has brought a series of social problems, for instance a sexual abuse in Germany and other crime cases from stealing, robbery and even murder

International Response
Our Faith
How Do Refugees Gather at Gathering Points of Travel Routes?
How Do Refugees Travel Through Routes?
From the Perspective of Shipping Business
From the Perspective of the Government
How Do Refugees Travel into Countries after Entry Points?
How Do Countries Grant Asylum Applications?
How Do We Describe Healthcare and Security?
Solution and Result
The Foundation of Model
Analysis of the Result
Transferring Model
Assumptions
Flow of Refugees
Dynamics of the Crisis
Policy to support refugee model
Exogenous Events
Entering Model
Conclusion
Entering model Symbol X t S
Full Text
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