Abstract
When designing and operating machine-building facilities, their operation reliability is significant. The quantitative measure of reliability is production risks. The article proposes a mathematical model to determine probabilities of unfavorable events: the occurrence of a risk factor at a given time interval at some point in time; a worker’s exposure at a given workplace in the adverse event area; negative changes in the worker’s ability to fulfill his production duties. The technique to define production risks based on the knowledge of likelihood of adverse events occurrence is resulted. Examples of the application method for solving safety management problems of a typical technological operation of assembling an all-in-one connection have been presented.
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