Abstract

<abstract> The emergence of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) demonstrates the importance of research on understanding and accurately modeling the transmission and spread of pandemic. In this paper, we consider a susceptible-exposed-infected-recovered-deceased (SEIRD) system of differential equations to describe relationship among the number of susceptible individuals, the number of exposed individuals who are transmitting the virus, the number of infected individuals among the exposed people, the number of recovered individuals from those infected, and the number of deaths from those infected in a town, state or country. Based on the empirical results of transmission process of COVID-19 in the United States from April 16th to June 30th, 2020, we consider a few cases of contact rate, incidence rate, recovery rate, and mortality rate to model the transmission and dynamics of the virus. Numerical analysis and analytical method are used to explore the dynamics and prediction of the pandemic. </abstract>

Talk to us

Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have

Schedule a call

Disclaimer: All third-party content on this website/platform is and will remain the property of their respective owners and is provided on "as is" basis without any warranties, express or implied. Use of third-party content does not indicate any affiliation, sponsorship with or endorsement by them. Any references to third-party content is to identify the corresponding services and shall be considered fair use under The CopyrightLaw.